If he takes this state, the presidency is his, no matter what else happens on Tuesday night. And early returns from Sumter County, home to that sprawling retirement community known as The Villages, will almost certainly tell us if Biden has a realistic shot to win the Sunshine State. In 2016, Sumter went for Donald Trump by a huge margin over Hillary Clinton—68.8% to 29.5%—and it went solidly Republican in both 2008 and 2012. But many political forecasters, including Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report, are predicting a “gray revolt” for Biden, based largely on seniors’ concern over the coronavirus and their anger over the Trump administration’s bungled response to the pandemic. “Trump’s newly adopted home state of Florida is a must-win for his hopes of a second term,” Wasserman recently wrote.
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